Question: What are my odds of getting accepted to medical school, based on my GPA and MCAT scores?

When it comes to medical school admissions, are you more than your MCAT score and GPA?
Answer: From 2020 to 2023, the AAMC reported 165,887 total applicants to US medical schools. Of those, 68,309 matriculated*. That translates to a 41.2% acceptance rate. Not too shabby, considering medicine is such a competitive professional path. Worth keeping in mind: these numbers do reflect a certain level of self-selection: applicants who are willing to put themselves through the hassle and cost of applying probably possess the basic qualifications. But if you’re a “glass-half-empty” kind of person, you’ve probably already noted that about 60% of applicants do not make it into medical school.
So how can you realistically gauge your odds of getting accepted to medical school? Glad you asked! The AAMC offers a handy grid that can help you determine how similar applicants in years past have fared with your MCAT and GPA scores: https://www.aamc.org/media/6091/download?attachment
But remember, the AAMC employs a holistic approach to applications*. Don’t ever assume that your numbers predetermine your outcome. Underperformers still have a chance and overperformers still get rejected.
Everything in your application matters. An experienced medical school admissions editor can help you put your best foot forward.
*Source: https://www.aamc.org/media/6091/download?attachment
*Source: https://www.aamc.org/services/membercapacity-building/holistic-review