Question: What are my chances of getting into medical school?
Answer: In 2019-2020, the AAMC reported 53,371 total applicants to US medical schools. Of those, 21,869 matriculated*. That translates to a 41% acceptance rate. Not too shabby, considering medicine is a highly competitive professional path. Granted, these numbers also reflect a certain level of self-selection: most applicants do possess the basic qualifications if they’re willing to put themselves through the hassle and cost of applying. But if you’re a “glass-half-empty” kind of person, you’ve probably already noted that about 60% of applicants do not make it into medical school.
So how can you realistically gauge your odds of getting accepted to medical school? Glad you asked! The AAMC offers a handy grid that spells out past applicants’ odds of acceptance, based on MCAT and GPA: https://www.aamc.org/system/files/2019-11/2019_FACTS_Table_A-23.pdf
Remember, the AAMC employs a holistic approach to applications*. Don’t ever assume that your numbers predetermine your outcome. Underperformers still have a chance and overperformers still get rejected.
Everything in your application matters. An experienced medical school admissions editor can help you put your best foot forward.